Horse racing Lucky 15 – Monday’s top selections

Each day Bet4Causes will mark your card, providing a preview of the day’s racing and offering what the experts feel will be the value bets of the day.

Take a look at our Lucky 15 selections (four singles, six doubles, four trebles and a four-fold) for the British meetings on Monday, January 30, 2017.

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LUCKY 15 SELECTIONS

EMINENT POET (Plumpton 3.20) found 3m a little beyond his stamina last year when upped in the weights and when bidding for a hat-trick at Huntingdon. The six-year-old has strengthened up a bit and made a fair comeback after six month off when fourth of nine to Oscar Rock in a 2m4½f handicap hurdle at Market Rasen in November. Dropped 3lb since, Venetia Williams’ representative is given a second chance to get this 3m1f trip in a lesser grade and he would have a fair chance of defying top weight and beating five rivals.

REIVERS LAD (Ayr 1.50) is worth chancing on his seasonal debut, despite having his first run since April. Anything that the Nicky Richards-trained Alflora gelding did in bumpers was going to be a bonus as he is bred to be a jumper. So to win and be placed twice in three bumpers last year showed clear ability. He was keen on his second start at Carlisle but won convincingly, and was not beaten far by Gibbes Bay at Ayr on his last start. He is bred to do better when faced with obstacles and the yard has not be going badly, so it will be interesting to see how he fares in the seven-runner maiden hurdle on heavy ground, which he should handle.

BETTER GETALONG (Ayr 4.35) is one of three previous winners in the 2m bumper and while he meets Sam’s Adventure, whom he beat by a short head here last month, on 7lb worse terms, Nicky Richards’ runner may well be able to frank that form. The six-year-old had almost a year on the sidelines before making his comeback and while he took time to get into his stride, he showed a willing attitude to beat his race-fit rival who was seeking a hat-trick. He needs further than this 2m and is a nice jumping prospect, regardless of how he fares today.

VANTAGE POINT (Southwell 2.30) has been a beaten favourite on two of his last three starts for John Gosden and has a little bit to find given what we have seen from the three-year-old on the all-weather. He does not appear to have moved forward since a couple of runner-up efforts on turf at Newmarket and Bath in the autumn. Forcing tactics did not appear to suit him at Wolverhampton and with cheekpieces fitted at Newcastle, he was unable to find another gear in a 10f maiden won by Doctor Bartolo a couple of weeks ago. Back to 1m and with the headgear retained, he should at least be competitive.

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OTHER SELECTIONS:

AYR: 1.50 Reivers Lad (nb), 2.20 Cadeau De Bresil, 2.55 Simmply Sam, 3.30 Newtown Lad, 4.00 Nakadam, 4.35 Better Getalong

PLUMPTON: 1.40 Royal Hall, 2.10 Clonusker, 2.45 Jerrysback, 3.20 EMINENT POET (NAP), 3.50 Talk Of The South, 4.25 Great Link

SOUTHWELL: 1.30 Brigadoon, 2.00 Regarde Moi, 2.30 Vantage Point, 3.05 It Must Be Faith, 3.40 Arcanista, 4.15 Athassel

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Horse racing Lucky 15 – Monday’s top selections

Each day Bet4Causes will mark your card, providing a preview of the day’s racing and offering what the experts feel will be the value bets of the day.

Take a look at our Lucky 15 selections (four singles, six doubles, four trebles and a four-fold) for the British meetings on Monday, January 15, 2017.

Hereford Racing X

LUCKY 15 SELECTIONS

TALK OF THE SOUTH (Plumpton 3.05) has been a largely consistent handicap hurdler, with his last win coming at this track off a mark of 102 last March. A string of runner-up efforts followed off higher marks and his 3l defeat by The Tourard Man at Warwick in May was a fine effort off of 115. He looked in need of the run when pulled up on his chasing debut on his return in a beginners’ chase at Fontwell in October and again when the same scenario happened at Uttoxeter in November in a handicap chase. However, Paul Henderson’s eight-year-old was only beaten a length on his final start at Warwick in early December By Brandon Hill and despite making a couple of novicey errors, he is getting better over the bigger obstacles and a mark of 115 is fair as he takes in six rivals in the extended 3m1½f handicap chase.

SPOILS OF WAR (Ayr 3.15) loves the mud and has been in decent form of late, finishing runner-up to Halcyon Days in a 1m7 ½ f handicap chase at Hexham in December, followed by a close-up third to Achill Road Boy in a 2m5½f handicap chase, staying on well. The Lucinda Russell-trained eight-year-old has shown fair improvement in all three starts over fences and given that he handled the trip last time, there is no reason to think he will not appreciate today’s extended 3m event, where he takes on 10 rivals in a competitive handicap chase off a fighting mark of 94. The ground will certainly be in his favour.

STEVE ROGERS (Wolverhampton 4.00) scored at Kempton last April over 2m but has not always found much in a battle. However, he has appeared to up his game in a couple of runs last year to warrant a second look in today’s 2m½f conditions stakes. There was plenty to like when runner-up to Intense Tango in a 12-runner all-weather Kempton handicap in November on his first start for three months. Latterly, the Roger Varian-trained six-year-old was a fair third to Winning Story at Newcastle last month and a similar level of form should put him in the mix at a reasonable price.

TRIPLE CHIEF (Plumpton 2.00) seems to like the West Sussex track, having scored on his first run here in February over hurdles last year and then when runner-up to Like Sully in a 2m1f novices’ handicap chase in March. His first two runs this season ere tame efforts, when beaten 20l over hurdles and 26 lengths in a novices’ handicap chase, both at Ludlow. However, Chris Down’s six-year-old looked back on is game at Wincanton last time and made steady progress to get within 3l of Guanciale in a handicap chase off a mark of 98. Back on a track he likes, with conditions in his favour, he should go well off the same mark in the 2m1f handicap chase.

Warwick Races

OTHER SELECTIONS:

AYR: 1.10 Fairlee Grey, 1.40 Whizzzey Rascal, 2.10 Lochnell, 2.45 Mango Cap, 3.15 Spoils Of War (nb), 3.50 Fearless Tunes

PLUMPTON: 1.25 Work, 2.00 Triple Chief, 2.35 Newsworthy, 3.05 TALK OF THE SOUTH (NAP), 3.40 Bob Mahler, 4.10 Royal Etiquette

WOLVERHAMPTON: 1.50 Gentleman Giles, 2.20 Draw Swords, 2.55 Dutch Uncle, 3.25 Pivotman, 4.00 Steve Rogers, 4.30 Alinstante, 5.00 Chandresh, 5.30 Topsoil

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Bet via Bet4Causes, where 20% of net revenue goes to sporting charities, who include Greatwood and World Horse Welfare.

You must be 18+ in order to bet. Please gamble responsibly http://www.gambleaware.co.uk

Horse racing Lucky 15 – Monday’s top selections

Each day Bet4Causes will mark your card, providing a preview of the day’s racing and offering what the experts feel will be the value bets of the day.

Take a look at our Lucky 15 selections (four singles, six doubles, four trebles and a four-fold) for the British meetings on Monday, January 2, 2017.

Ayr 4.jpg

LUCKY 15 SELECTIONS

COUNT MERIBEL (Plumpton 12.50) was put away after a couple of inauspicious runs in bumpers last spring but looked a different proposition when chasing home well-regarded The Mighty Don at Plumpton in November upon his return. He made his hurdling debut for Nigel Twiston-Davies at Towcester last month and despite losing a left-fore shoe, showed up well when a close-up third to Azzerti, who had an experience edge. That looked a decent maiden for the money and the five-year-old should be in the shake-up for today’s 12-runner novices’ hurdle over an extended 1m7½f.

BARON ALCO (Plumpton 1.20) looks the answer in a really decent 2m1f novices’ chase. The Gary Moore-trained six-year-old was rated 134 over hurdles and made a fair debut over fences when chasing home Marracudja and Presenting Arms at Cheltenham in October. He did not travel particularly well at Plumpton next time but when left in front in a 2m3½f novices’ chase, he scored by almost the length of the straight in what was little more than a schooling exercise. Up in class last month, he was beaten into second place by Whisper in a 2m5f event on ground that was softer than he would have liked. While today’s trip appears on the sharp side, he has familiarity with the eccentricities of this track and also more fencing experience than his four rivals.

NORTONTHORPELEGEND (Ayr 2.00) can complete a hat-trick of handicap chase wins for Rebecca Menzies and jockey Brian Hughes. The seven-year-old has been improving steadily since reverting to fences in April and has been placed in his last four starts, winning at Sedgefield and Catterick in November. Having had a 33-day break, this will likely be a step towards a tilt at the North Yorkshire Grand National at Catterick in 10 days’ time. Though up to a mark of 113 (he defied a penalty to win off 107 last time), he is a relatively unexposed staying chaser with time on his side and it would be no surprise to see him make it four wins from eight starts over fences in the extended 3m handicap chase.

CAPTAIN SCOOBY (Southwell 1.10) has won just four of 52 races on the all-weather and he is 0-14 at Southwell, which is hardly a glowing endorsement, yet three of those wins have come in his last seven runs on artificial surfaces. Having just turned 11 and having his 182nd run, he never found his stride over 5f at Lingfield on Saturday and is best judged on his win at Wolverhampton in mid-December, just a day after flopping at Newcastle. If he gets a decent pace at which to aim, the Richard Guest-trained veteran has a squeak at what is likely to be a decent price in division two of the 6f handicap.

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OTHER SELECTIONS:

AYR: 12.30 Pinch Of Ginger, 1.00 Plus Jamais, 1.30 Massini’s Lady, 2.00 Nortonthorpelegend, 2.30 Isaacstown Lad, 3.00 Asuncion, 3.30 Donna’s Delight

PLUMPTON: 12.50 COUNT MERIBEL (NAP), 1.20 Baron Alco (nb), 1.50 No Comment, 2.20 Snippetydoodah, 2.50 Mysteree, 3.20 John’s Luck, 3.50 Cottesloe

SOUTHWELL: 12.10 Canadian Diamond, 12.40 Arizona Snow, 1.10 Captain Scooby, 1.40 Richter Scale, 2.10 Ominotago, 2.40 Marshgate Lane, 3.10 War Department, 3.40 Mustn’t Grumble

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Bet via Bet4Causes, where 20% of net revenue goes to sporting charities, who include Greatwood and World Horse Welfare.

You must be 18+ in order to bet. Please gamble responsibly http://www.gambleaware.co.uk

Horse racing Lucky 15 – Monday’s top selections

Each day Bet4Causes will mark your card, providing a preview of the day’s racing and offering what the experts feel will be the value bets of the day.

Take a look at our Lucky 15 selections (four singles, six doubles, four trebles and a four-fold) for the British meetings on Monday, December 12, 2016.

Ffos Las bend.jpg

LUCKY 15 SELECTIONS

HIGH COMMAND (Wolverhampton 3.10) bids for a hat-trick, having scored twice at Southwell over 1m4f and 1m6f. The Roger Varian-trained three-year-old is clearly progressive and though he shoulders a 6lb penalty, putting him on a mark of 81, the only question mark is the track. He is suited to fibresand (which is a heavy all-weather surface, akin to racing in turf) and does not appear to mind the kickback, as he can race prominently there. The tighter circuit at Wolverhampton can catch a few out, but the Tapeta surface should hold no fears as he takes on four rivals in the 1m6f handicap.

STOWAWAY MAGIC (Plumpton 1.30) has won a point-to-point, a soft-ground Kempton bumper and a 2m3f novices’ hurdle in four career starts. The last of those successes came at Warwick in May on Good ground. Quite what that form is worth is open to question, although runner-up The Outlaw did subsequently win a novices’ selling hurdle. The Nicky Henderson-trained five-year-old looked understandably inexperienced on his last run and he has a 219-day break to overcome, so fitness must be taken on trust for this strapping son of Stowaway. However, aside from Market Rasen winner No Comment, there appears to be a lot of dead wood in the 2m4½f novices’ hurdle.

TOP AND DROP (Ffos Las 2.50) takes on 13 rivals in a reasonably competitive 2m4f handicap hurdle and should be in the mix if repeating her fine second to Bobble Boru at Chepstow on her return to action following a seven-month break. She ran off a mark of 96 for her seasonal and handicap debut when going down two lengths, with the pair drawing well clear of the third. The winner has since gone close off a 6lb higher mark at Leicester, so the form looks solid and the Venetia Williams-trained five-year-old is entitled to come on for the run.

TARSEEKH (Wolverhampton 4.40) appears to have a strong chance of getting off the mark in the 1m½f all-weather maiden for Roger Varian. The three-year-old by Kyllachy, who takes on seven rivals, was easy to back on his Haydock debut in June when well held and was subsequently gelded. He returned to action at Lingfield last month and was beaten just a length in a very weak race. The suspicion was he may have needed a bit further than the mile he got, and this looks another ordinary race.

Ffos Las Jumps.jpg

OTHER SELECTIONS:

FFOS LAS: 12.45 Attest, 1.15 Positively Dylan, 1.45 West Wizard, 2.20 Bennys King, 2.50 Top And Drop, 3.20 Kilcullen Flem, 3.50 Astrapaios

PLUMPTON: 12.30 Khezerabad, 1.00 Theinval, 1.30 Stowaway Magic (nb), 2.00 Sartorial Elegance, 2.30 The Game Is A Foot, 3.00 Hit The Headlines, 3.30 Shimba Hills

WOLVERHAMPTON: 2.10 Polar Forest, 2.40 Rhombus, 3.10 HIGH COMMAND (NAP), 3.40 Kissinger, 4.10 Aventus, 4.40 Tarseekh, 5.10 Sands Chorus

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Bet via Bet4Causes, where 20% of net revenue goes to sporting charities, who include Greatwood and World Horse Welfare.

You must be 18+ in order to bet. Please gamble responsibly http://www.gambleaware.co.uk

Horse racing Lucky 15 – Monday’s top selections

Each day Bet4Causes will mark your card, providing a preview of the day’s racing and offering what the experts feel will be the value bets of the day.

Take a look at our Lucky 15 selections (four singles, six doubles, four trebles and a four-fold) for the British meetings on Monday, November 28, 2016.

Ludlow Races

LUCKY 15 SELECTIONS

RIVER FROST (Plumpton 12.55) appeared to be a winner-in-waiting following a very pleasing hurdles debut third over 2m at Huntingdon earlier this month and looks the one to beat in the 2m novices’ hurdle, the first of a typically low-key card at the West Sussex track. The Alan King-trained four-year-old had won over 1m5f on the all-weather in France and was purchased by top owner J.P. McManus. He got warm beforehand and made a couple of early errors, but he travelled very well and while he probably will be seen to better effect over further, he is worth a look today over what may be an inadequate trip.

CRIMSON LAKE (Newcastle 1.20) appears to be going the right way, judged by her first two starts, and may be good enough to land division one of the 1m fillies’ maiden that kicks off an interesting eight-race all-weather card. The sister to Taking Libertys, who won her first two starts as a juvenile, was pretty green on her debt at Lingfield in September, when fourth to Unforgettable Filly (who was third in a Group 3 at Newmarket the following month). The David Simcock-trained daughter of Makfi may have improved a little for that run when third to Icepire over 7f at Salisbury in what looked a fair 7f fillies’ maiden last time. She takes on eight rivals and goes up in trip today, in a race that does not appear to have great strength in depth and she should go well.

WATER WAGTAIL (Plumpton 3.00) looks potentially well handicapped now and may be able to end a run of nine without a win in the extended 3m1½f handicap chase. Emma Lavelle has a strike-rate of 20% or more with bumper, hurdle and chase winners so far this season and one more winner will equal last season’s tally of winners with five months of the campaign remaining. Water Wagtail won off a mark of 101 at Wincanton in April 2014 and the nine-year-old has shown his wellbeing with a couple of decent efforts in defeat of marks of 96 on his last two runs. He drops another 1lb today and if he is near the form which saw him make plenty of the running when third to Yanmare are Warwick, he should be in the reckoning when it matters.

COILLTE LASS (Ludlow 1.10) looks the obvious one in the extended 2m5f novices’ hurdle. The Paul Nicholls-trained five-year-old won a mares’ maiden hurdle at Hereford early last month, having previously scored in a good-ground Irish mares’ point-to-point. She will appreciate softer ground and probably needs further than this trip, despite having scored over it, but that Hereford run was given a boost when the third home, Braventara, subsequently scored by 20 lengths at Warwick.

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OTHER SELECTIONS:

LUDLOW: 1.10 Coillte Lass, 1.40 Muckle Row, 2.10 Agincourt Reef, 2.40 Roadie Joe, 3.10 L Frank Baum, 3.40 Highway Star

NEWCASTLE: 1.20 Crimson Lake (nb), 1.50 Dubai Dunes, 2.20 Pirate Look, 2.50 Lexi’s Boy, 3.20 Sennockian Song, 3.50 Savannah Beau, 4.20 Dubai One, 4.50 Horsforth

PLUMPTON: 12.55 RIVER FROST (NAP), 1.25 Top Notch, 2.00 Theatre Goer, 2.30 Straits Of Messina, 3.00 Water Wagtail, 3.30 If The Cap Fits

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Bet via Bet4Causes, where 20% of net revenue goes to sporting charities, who include Greatwood and World Horse Welfare.

You must be 18+ in order to bet. Please gamble responsibly http://www.gambleaware.co.uk

Horse racing Lucky 15 – Monday’s top selections

You may remember our Lucky 15 payout of £781.21 a few weeks ago. On Friday, our experts hit the jackpot again, with winners at 9/2 (NAP), 2/1 (Next Best), 7/2 and 9/4.

If you had followed us, you would have collected a cool £667.42 to a £1 stake unit.

Each day Bet4Causes we will mark your card, providing a preview of the day’s racing and offering what the experts feel will be the value bets of the day.

Take a look at our Lucky 15 selections (four singles, six doubles, four trebles and a four-fold) for the British meetings on Monday, November 14, 2016.

musselburgh-racecourse

LUCKY 15 SELECTIONS

BARON ALCO (Plumpton 1.35) looks to hold a decent chance of winning the 2m3½ novices’ chase for Gary Moore. He won four times over hurdles and made a pleasing introduction to fences when not beaten far by Marracudja in a better novices’ chase at Cheltenham three weeks ago. He was up against those with experience and looked a likely improver. He was a front-running hurdler last season and with this small field of four, he may well be able to dominate.

DUBAI ELEGANCE (Newcastle 3.00), a 200,000 guineas filly out of a 1m2f-1m3½f winning half-sister to 10 winners, including July Cup winner Sakhee’s Secret, was a little bit of a madam when loading for her debut over 6½f at Doncaster in June, but she clearly knew her job and stayed on promisingly to finish third to Dainty Dandy. She built on the promise four months later, on her all-weather debut at Chelmsford, when scoring comfortably in a 6f maiden, despite being draw wide. The daughter of Sepoy tackles nursery company for the first time off an awkward mark of 81, but plenty of her eight rivals are beginning to look exposed and she looks the likely improver now stepped up to 7f.

RIOJA DAY (Mussleburgh 12.50) has had 11 hurdle starts without winning but the Jim Goldie-trained six-year-old would appear to hold a fair chance of getting off the mark in this sphere. He takes on eight rivals in the extended 2m handicap hurdle off a mark of 83, having ran well in defeat behind Weapon Of Choice in a better race over course and distance earlier this month. He attempted to make all the running but the ground would have been lively enough and with plenty of rain around over the past week, he should get his ground in this weaker contest.

LADY JOANNA VASSA (Newcastle 5.30) has enjoyed a decent summer, notching wins at Nottingham and Leicester on the way and is now 3lb below her last winning mark. Despite having gone off the boil a bit when she gained the last of those wins in a minor 6f handicap in early July, she has remained pretty consistent and the handicapper gave her a chance here last time, when she was not beaten far by the well-handicapped Groundworker. While she has yet to make the frame in three all-weather starts, today’s 5f 0-60 handicap looks a modest affair, even for this standard and the Richard Guest-trained three-year-old should be thereabouts again.

plumpton

OTHER SELECTIONS:

NEWCASTLE: 2.00 Booshbash, 2.30 Endive, 3.00 Dubai Elegance (nb), 3.30 Young John, 4.00 Rebel Surge, 4.30 Brockholes, 5.00 Noble Star, 5.30 Lady Joanna Vassa

PLUMPTON: 1.05 Boudry, 1.35 BARON ALCO (NAP), 2.10 Blake Dean, 2.40 In On The Act, 3.10 Tothemoonandback, 3.40 Black Mischief

MUSSELBURGH: 12.50 Rioja Day, 1.20 Thankyou Very Much, 1.50 Ryalex, 2.20 Formidableopponent, 2.50 Royal Pearl, 3.20 Quick Brew, 3.50 Marcus Antonius

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Bet via Bet4Causes, where 20% of net revenue goes to sporting charities, who include Greatwood and World Horse Welfare.

You must be 18+ in order to bet. Please gamble responsibly http://www.gambleaware.co.uk

Horse racing Lucky 15 – Monday’s top selections

Each day Bet4Causes will mark your card, providing a preview of the day’s racing and offering what the experts feel will be the value bets of the day.

Take a look at our Lucky 15 selections (four singles, six doubles, four trebles and a four-fold) for the British meetings on Monday, October 31, 2016.

Hereford generic jumpers.jpg

LUCKY 15 SELECTIONS

DICK TRACY (Kempton Park 2.50), who cost 115,000 euros as yearling, has had three starts for Richard Hannon and the Lawman colt seeks to break his duck in the 7f maiden. His York debut early last month was a decent one, chasing home Zainhom in good to soft ground over today’s trip. Sent off favourite when stepped up to 1m1f at Goodwood, he was in the frame again behind the 83-rated Celestial Spheres, despite running green. His limitations were exposed at Nottingham last time over 1m½f when finding little in the closing stages of a maiden won by Century Dream. While his mark of 81 looks fair, Hannon chances his arm in another maiden rather than a nursery and that gamble may pay off on his all-weather debut.

RED RANNAGH (Kempton Park 4.50) stuck on well here in a 1m4f handicap last time, but in truth was given a horlicks of a ride when given far too much to do. David Simcock’s three-year-old needs plenty to fall his way but is worth chancing again. The three-year-old son of Teofilo has been a little frustrating, getting a little too far out of his ground in a couple of decent handicaps this summer but with 11 runners, he should get a decent pace to aim at this time, and Simcock has decided to apply a first-time hood. The colt is as talented as he is quirky, but on his day he has the ability to win a race such as today’s 1m3f London Middle Distance Final Handicap.

JACK BEAR (Plumpton 1.40), a son of US Grade 1 Secretariat Stakes runner-up Joe Bear, was switched to Harry Whittington’s yard and made winning stable debut in a staying handicap at Nottingham in June and was then beaten a head at Haydock. Rated 79 on the Flat, he was popular in the market for his hurdling debut in a modest 2m½f heat at Newton Abbot in September, but hit the second, stumbled and unshipped his 10lb claimer. The more experienced Gavin Sheehan is in the saddle today and a bold bid is expected in the 2m maiden hurdle.

WEST TORR (Hereford 3.00) is worth another chance, despite having run poorly when a well beaten favourite for a 2m4f novices’ hurdle at Worcester in July. The Nigel Twiston-Davies-trained five-year-old is best judged on his 10-length win in a 2m4f Ffos Las novices’ hurdle a month earlier, a race that subsequently produced a trio of winners. His handicap mark of 125 may appear a little harsh given what he has achieved thus far, but if fit, the step up to 3m1½f for the five-runner handicap should see him in a better light.

Hereford crowd stands.jpg

OTHER SELECTIONS:

HEREFORD: 1.00 New Member, 1.30 Whataknight, 2.00 Hoke Colburn, 2.30 Still Believing, 3.00 West Torr, 3.30 Berinsdale, 4.00 On Demand

KEMPTON PARK: 2.20 Mockinbird, 2.50 DICK TRACY (NAP), 3.20 Issue, 3.50 Run To The Hills, 4.20 Up In Lights, 4.50 Red Rannagh (nb), 5.20 Franco’s Secret

PLUMPTON: 1.40 Jack Bear, 2.10 Ivor’s Queen, 2.40 Prettylittlething, 3.10 Threebarmymen, 3.40 Spock, 4.10 Shouting Hill

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Bet via Bet4Causes, where 20% of net revenue goes to sporting charities, who include Greatwood and World Horse Welfare.

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