Toon torment? Your weekend Premier League betting guide

With the top four cast in stone, the focus turns to the relegation battle. Either Hull City or Newcastle United will fall. Both have home games against teams with little to play for except price – and only one of those teams appears to have any at present.

We take a look at the big weekend matches and suggest how to make even some money for your summer holidays…

Remember, you can get your club, however large or small, its own tailor-made betting service – FREE – and start benefiting now! See myclubbetting.com for details.

ARSENAL v WEST BROM

wenger
Challengers: Arsene Wenger

Arsenal (Odds: 1.39) have clinched third place unless Manchester United can achieve a swing of eight goals with the Gunners – and that is very unlikely to happen.

So with the top four cemented and West Brom (8.60) safe from relegation, there is very little riding on the outcome.

West Brom have won three of the last 35 meetings and the Gunner have scored at least once in the last 21 clashes. Five of the last six meetings yielded under three goals and with the way the Gunners have been miss-firing of late, all three of those trends may well hold true.

The Baggies beat Chelsea 3-0 last week and they may well think it is ‘job done’. We see the Gunners rolling Albion over.

VERDICT: Arsenal 3 West Brom 1 @ 11.00

BEST BET: Arsenal to win & over 2.5 goals @ 1.90

LEICESTER v QPR

redknapp
Far from blameless: Redknapp

Leicester (Odds: 1.58) become the second team in as many seasons to be bottom of the Premier League at Christmas yet still survive the drop.

Their sole defeat in their last eight games came at home to champions Chelsea and they have kept a clean sheet at home in three of their last four games.

QPR (5.70) were left in the lurch by Harry Redknapp, who bought badly and walked out after the transfer window. Their prize asset, Charlie Austin, is likely to ply his trade elsewhere next season.

While fortunate that they have a good man at the helm in Chris Ramsey, who has been appointed head coach on a three-year contract, the club appears to be in financial meltdown and it will take a monumental feat to see them bounce back quickly.

Rangers won fewer points in the league (nine) in 2015 than any other team, even after beating Newcastle last week. It is easy to see a confident Leicester side taking their momentum into the close season with a win and there has been a positive result in each of the last eight meetings.

VERDICT: Leicester 2 QPR 1 @ 7.60

BEST BET: Leicester lead at HT @ 2.06

CHELSEA v SUNDERLAND

Mourino
Bounce-back: Mourinho

Sunderland (Odds: 9.80) have managed to keep their Premier League status for another season, though who will be in charge on the opening day of the new season remains open to question.

The Black Cats have won just three of their 17 games on the road this term and have managed just 14 goals. Though they held Arsenal scoreless to secure their survival on Wednesday, it was a physically and psychologically draining game, as interim manager Dick Advocaat’s tears in the press conference afterwards showed.

Chelsea (1.36) clinched the title with three matches remaining so have earned the right to lose some motivation. Yet having been thumped 3-0 by an inferior West Brom side will have hurt Jose Mourinho.

Good managers inspire bounce-back performances and while Sunderland have remained undefeated in the last three meetings, it is unlikely that they will inflict Chelsea’s first home league defeat of the season.

Chelsea have won 17 of the last 21 meetings and 11 of the last 14 have yielded three goals or more. Those are trends that can be your friend. In fact, Sunderland could get a thumping.

VERDICT: Chelsea 5 Sunderland 0 @ 32.00

BEST BET: Both teams score – No @ 1.82

NEWCASTLE v WEST HAM

Sam Allardyce
Leaving: Allardyce

West Ham (Odds: 4.60) have seemingly given up. It is bordering on criminal that those who don the famous claret and blue have simply not appeared to put it in at all since the turn of the year.

The Upton Park faithful have been treated to poor performance after poor performance and the board’s refusal to give Sam Allardyce their wholehearted backing has caused nothing but apathy from over-paid, and oft-ordinary players.

The Hammers need to remain in the Premier League next term before they head to the Olympic Stadium. This may well herald the start of an exciting time at the club, but the current crop of players do not seem to be buying into it.

Newcastle (1.74) have suffered an horrendous run of form. They are a ludicrously short price for a team that has taken just one point from their last 30 available. But that says much about the opposition.

It is a straight fight between The Magpies and Hull, who are two points behind but who have a superior goal difference, to see who goes down.

Newcastle have not lost back-to-back games against the Hammers since 2000, but if the West Ham players are still playing for Allardyce, the incentive is there to win. Big Sam was sacked by Newcastle owner Mike Ashley and he would perhaps like a measure of revenge.

It is all hypothetical, of course. West Ham players Kevin Nolan and Andy Carroll are both Newcastle legends and they would not like to see the club go down. They may even return to Tyneside before too long.

Despite nine defeats in 10 matches Newcastle are odds-on to win. West Ham still appear massive value, but you are taking a big chance if backing them, as they appear to have thrown in the towel long ago.

VERDICT: Newcastle United 2 West Ham 0 @ 9.20

BEST BET: Newcastle to win @ 1.74

ASTON VILLA v BURNLEY

Sean Dyche2
Top job: Dyche

The remarkable job Shaun Dyche has done with Burnley (Odds: 3.60) and the equally effective job the board have done in sticking to their plan, means the Clarets immediate future will not be a concern.

While they have ultimately paid for their prudence, they will be in excellent financial shape compared to some in the Championship and have refused to mortgage their future on the present.

The loyalty they have shown Dyche, an excellent motivator and fine man-manager, is something every Burnley fan – and every football fan for that matter – can take pride in. Theirs is a blueprint that many clubs can learn from.

Aston Villa (2.08), safe for another season, are looking forward to next week’s F.A. Cup final against Arsenal. Injury will be at the forefront of the players’ minds.

There have been five draws in the last eight meetings but Villa have won just two of the last 10 clashes. Both sides found the net in seven of the last eight meetings and that trend may continue.

As with most of the games, there is nothing hanging on the outcome and we look for an entertaining draw.

VERDICT: Aston Villa 1 Burnley 1 @ 6.40

BEST BET: Burnley to score @ 1.42

EVERTON v TOTTENHAM

Mauricio Pochettino
Thursday’s child: Mauricio Pochettino

Tottenham (Odds: 2.98) could still finish fifth and qualify for the Europa League. They are a point behind Liverpool with an inferior goals difference.

Tottenham’s hierarchy probably believe that playing on Thursday nights in the Europa League harms their chances of making the top four and the promise of Champions League football. Perhaps they feel they are above all that?

In fairness, sides traditionally struggle in league matches after a Thursday night jaunt around the more obscure grounds in Europe.

Liverpool have a tough game at Stoke. The Reds may have been unsettled by the talk about Raheem Sterling’s contract and may be drained by the emotion of Steven Gerrard’s last home game. Both are ready-made excuses for not wanting Thursday night football and they were certainly not at the races against Crystal Palace last weekend.

Everton (2.34) have only their final position in the table to play for but should secure tenth place.

We don’t think Spurs will put it all in, to be brutally honest.

VERDICT: Everton 3 Tottenham Hotspur 1 @ 17.00

BEST BET: 3 goals or more @ 1.68

CRYSTAL PALACE v SWANSEA

Alan Pardew
Saviour: Pardew

Palace (Odds: 2.20) and Swansea (3.25) have both over-achieved this season. Swansea will finish in eighth place, while Palace can finish in the top 10 if their results go their way.

Alan Padrew’s Palace showed last week that they are something of a bogey side to Liverpool and they spoilt Steven Gerrard’s Anfield send-off with a remarkable 3-1 win. What goes around comes around, however, and Swansea have held the Indian Sign over the Eagles in recent times, remaining unbeaten in the last seven meetings.

Palace have failed to score in five of the last seven meetings, of which the Swans have won four. They also led at half-time in five of the last six clashes.

Throw in the fact that Palace have the worst home record in the Premier League, taking just 18 points from their 18 games and you have the potential for an upset.

VERDICT: Crystal Palace 1 Swansea 2 @ 11.00

BEST BET: HT draw @ 2.12

MAN CITY v SOUTHAMPTON

Ronald Koeman
Remarkable job: Ronald Koeman

Southampton’s (Odds: 6.00) season has been nothing short of tremendous. Many were berating the board for selling a few prize assets at the end of last season, but sound management from Ronald Koeman, combined with a perpetually blossoming youth system, means they continue to reap the benefits.

Clubs such as West Ham, who had a long history of bringing through young talent, but who veered from that path by bringing in mediocre – and often expensive – foreign players, are now looking at the Saints with envy. Or at least they should be.

City (1.55) are all that is bad about the modern game in this country: Throw money at the best foreign players and buy trophies. Gone are the days of the likes of Everton, West Ham or West Brom challenging for the title – or even the top four. Money has made the Premier League, but also killed English football and English talent.

Both sides scored in six of the last seven meetings, seven of the last nine meetings yielded over 2.5 goals and there has been a positive result in 13 of the last 15 meetings.

City have secured second place, but the neutral will want a Saints win. One in the eye. A small token gesture. It probably won’t happen though.

VERDICT: Man City 2 Southampton 0 @ 10.00

BEST BET: Man City win to nil @ 3.20

HULL v MAN UTD

steve bruce
Fall guy: Steve Bruce

Anyone who has read this blog will know we have fancied Hull (Odds: 3.15) to fall for quite a while.

In order to stay up, they have to beat Manchester United (2.20) and hope that Newcastle do not manage to beat West Ham. That may well be too much to ask.

Hull have not managed a point against United in seven attempts and even an old pals’ act may not be enough to help Steve Bruce’s side.

United will likely be on their holidays after finishing fourth and they have only won a third of their 18 road games. That is by no means title-winning form and the Red Devils will have to improve upon that next term if they are to challenge.

Hull have won just five of 18 league matches at home this season and they have managed just 19 goals. Bruce needs a miracle and while Hull may eke out a victory, ultimately it may not be enough.

VERDICT: Hull City 2 Manchester United 1 @ 10.50

BEST BET: Hull to win @ 3.15

STOKE v LIVERPOOL

Gerrard2
Fond farewell: Gerrard

Steven Gerrad’s Anfield send-off was akin to being at a wake.

Understandable to a degree, for where would Liverpool (Odds: 2.14) be without Stevie G?

He has dragged them to a Champions League success, an F.A. Cup (both won on penalties) and a League Cup, but there has been no silverware for nine years, no title for 25 years.

While the likes of Phillippe Coutinho and Daniel Sturridge have proven major transfer success stories, the future of this once-great club is filed with doubt.

The treadmill of quality home-grown players who would die for the club may well end with Gerrard. And that is a travesty. A strong Liverpool used to mean a strong national game. No more.

Stoke (3.40) have a fine manager in Mark Hughes, who will soon have the chance of another top job. He may have felt he had something to prove after being ousted at Man City, but he has always been a winner. “He was impossible to play against,” according to Chelsea’s legendary captain Colin Pates, and his teams are proving equally tough to play against now.

Motivation is a factor. Brendan Rodgers may well not tolerate such a below-par display in Gerrard’s final game for Liverpool, but as the Raheem Sterling saga is showing, managers don’t have much of a say. Player-power is king.

While the future Reds manager will wish to head to America with a win – the Legend deserves that at the very least – Liverpool may well not welcome European Thursday night football again. Stoke are simply too big a price to ignore.

VERDICT: Stoke 2 Liverpool 1 @ 11.00

BEST BET: Both teams to score @ 1.67

All odds quoted from Whyteleafe FC’s betting service whyteleafe.myclubbetting.co.uk

Get your club, however large or small, its own tailor-made betting service – FREE – and start benefiting now! See myclubbetting.com for details.

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Hull to pay? Your Weekend Premier League betting guide

Our team of experts were on form last week with NINE out of TEN suggested best bets winning. Just for good measure they weighed in with a correct score 11.00 stunner.

This week they take you through the tricky Premier League minefield of games which include Steven Gerrard’s Anfield farewell and Hull’s likely relegation.

Remember, you can get your club, however large or small, its own tailor-made betting service – FREE – and start benefiting now! See myclubbetting.com for details.

SOUTHAMPTON v ASTON VILLA

Toby Alderweireld
Saints lay bogey: Toby Alderweireld

Southampton (Odds: 1.76) still have an outside chance of finishing fifth and qualifying for the Europa League, but are five points behind Liverpool with only two matches remaining.

Rumours that Liverpool may avoid the long treks around strange places in Europe on Thursday nights have yet to be confirmed. Cynics will say: Let’s hope so!

In any case, Southampton need two wins and anything less will scupper their chances.

Villa (4.80) are not quite out of the relegation mire but there must be a freakish set of results for them to lose their status.

Saints have won just three of the last 14 meetings, losing six, and they have won just once at home in the last six meetings. Villa have also scored on their last six trips to St Mary’s.

The conclusion should be a home win, but for their historical record against the Villains. We’ll take a draw.

VERDICT: Southampton 1 Aston Villa 1 @ 7.00

BEST BET: Draw at HT @ 2.10

QPR v NEWCASTLE

Charlie Austin
Ironic: Charlie Austin to Newcastle?

Rangers (Odds: 2.96) are now relegated and everybody seems to be blaming somebody else. Isn’t that always the case?

Harry Redknapp departed the scene in February making his excuses and Chris Ramsay has carried the can, but is on the verge of signing a new two-year contract. Despite the drop, it will be thoroughly deserved.

Charlie Austin has been one of few bright spots for Rangers and is the second-highest English scorer in the Premier League this season. He could, ironically, be on his way to Newcastle (2.34) at the end of the season.

Even many Toon fans are hoping for relegation to bring about a change of ownership and direction. A massive club, starved of success for so long, they may well be a force should they re-sign Andy Carroll and Kevin Nolan from West Ham. They need players who care about the club which has too much negativity swirling around it.

Current and season-long form points to a stalemate, but Rangers have won 1 of the last 12 meetings and, given that 12 of the last 14 meetings were won by the odd goal, we take Newcastle to nick it.

VERDICT: Queens Park Rangers 0 Newcastle United 1 @ 9.00

BEST BET: Newcastle win, draw no bet @ 1.71

WEST HAM v EVERTON

Sam Allardyce
Poor run: Sam Allardyce

This is a classic end-of-season match involving two teams with little to play for except the ‘honour’ of finishing tenth in the table.

West Ham (Odds: 2.90) are three points clear of their opponents with a better goal difference of two, but an Everton (2.50) win would totally change the scenario.

Everton are one of the biggest bogey sides for the Hammers. It has been that way for decades. The Hammers have not won any of their last 16 meetings (winning an FA Cup game on penalties does not count).

Both sides have scored in 12 of the last 14 meetings, but West Ham have been largely impotent up front in recent weeks and several players have to take a long, hard look at themselves over the summer.

Sam Allardyce must be tearing his hair out with several of them, who simply have not put a shift in when required. And that isn’t the West Ham way. The loyal fans can take most things, but lack of effort is not one of them.

In a fixture that is difficult to call, backing a side with character is usually the best way forward when you expect two teams to go through the motions. West Ham have not shown much character lately, and while the draw looks the obvious route, Everton invariably give West Ham fits and they may sneak a win by the odd goal.

VERDICT: West Ham 0 Everton 1 @ 8.20

BEST BET: Both teams to score – No @ 2.04

SUNDERLAND V LEICESTER

nigel pearson
Staying up: Nigel Pearson and Leicester

In some respects this is a must-win match for both sides but a draw would suit both perfectly.

In no way is there a suggestion of a contrived result, but deep down the players may not put in a proper shift in the knowledge that a point each could take them both to safety.

Sunderland (Odds: 2.70) also have a game in hand of the other four teams still with relegation worries, but won’t have a more winnable match before the end of the season.

Leicester (2.72) have found their best form at a crucial stage of the season and avoiding defeat would land Newcastle and Hull in further trouble.

Leicester have not won any of the last six meetings, but are on a run of five successive wins on a Saturday – something not achieved by any Premier League side since 2007.

Twelve of the last 16 meetings saw less than three goals scored.

Leicester are playing with confidence, but a draw is perhaps all they can hope for.

VERDICT: Sunderland 2 Leicester City 2 @ 13.00

BEST BET: Sunderland score exactly 2 goals @ 3.80

BURNLEY v STOKE

Sean Dyche2
Fall guy: Sean Dyche

Burnley (2.66) are relegated. They will be playing for pride and avoiding the shame of finishing bottom of the table, which would add to the hurt of an immediate return to the Championship.

They have won just six of 36 league matches, scoring 27 goals and conceding 53. Yet they have played attractive football and have been prudent with the wage bill. They may well make an immediate return if they can keep hold of players like Danny Ings. Seann Dyche should be in the running for manager of the year, despite relegation.

Stoke (2.78), managed by another top coach in Mark Hughes, cannot finish higher than 9th or lower than 11th, which is the epitome of mid-table mediocrity.

Stoke have won two of their last eight trips to Turf Moor and there have been four draws in the last 11 meetings.

Nine of the last 10 meetings saw less than three goals scored and another low-scoring encounter is on the cards.

Hunger and desire could be the key to the outcome of this fixture and Stoke have only won five of 18 road matches this season.

Burnley could send their fans home with some joy by winning their last home game of the season.

VERDICT: Burnley 2 Stoke City 1 @ 9.20

BEST BET: Both teams to score @ 1.87

TOTTENHAM v HULL

steve bruce
Tough run-in: Steve Bruce and Hull

The Boomtown Rats did not like Mondays. Who can blame them?

Hull (Odds: 4.60) have a bigger problem. They don’t like May. Not one little bit. For the Tigers have never won a Premier League game in the month, losing eight and drawing three of their last 11.

In their final game next week, Hull face a Manchester United side with the incentive to finish higher than fourth.

Two points adrift of safety, now would be a good time to lay the bogey.

Spurs (1.78) have won seven of the last 12 meetings, drawing two and losing two, and can finish in the Europa League spot. The question is whether they want to or not.

Unless Harry Kane bags a couple of hat-tricks, he won’t be overhauling Sergio Aguero as the league’s top scorer. Spurs can do without Thursday night football.

VERDICT: Tottenham 1 Hull City 1 @ 7.40

BEST BET: Hull to score @ 1.51

LIVERPOOL v CRYSTAL PALACE

Gerrard2
Farewell: Steven Gerrard

The painfully long goodbye continues and there are sure to be tears before bedtime as Steven Gerrard takes a final bow at Anfield.

The Liverpool (1.45) captain will no doubt return to manage the club one day, should he so wish.

But for now, he’s off to ply his trade in America. So will there be one last Anfield hurrah? A penalty to be awarded may appear a feasible bet, as the S-Words (sentiment and simulation) may come into play.

Liverpool have won just five of the last 18 meetings, but they have won five of the last six clashes at Anfield. Palace (7.60) have scored at least once in the last eight meetings and 10 of the last 13 meetings saw three goals or more. We will ride those trends and waves of sickly sweet emotion. Thanks for the memories, Stevie G. It’s been emotional.

VERDICT: Liverpool 4 Crystal Palace 1 @ 21/1

BEST BET: Most goals in second half @ 2.04

SWANSEA v MAN CITY

Bafétimbi Gomis
Marksman: Bafétimbi Gomis

Manchester City (1.71) can finish up as first of the losers should they win both of their final two games. That may be good enough for Manuel Pellegrini to keep his job managing the oldest team in the Premier League.

Swansea (4.90) won their third successive Premier League game when defeating an Arsenal side whom they invariably have matched up well with over the years.

The Swans have lost four of the last five meetings and there are usually a few goals when these two clash – seven of the last 11 has seen at least three goals scored.

Bafetimbi Gomis has now scored four goals in his last four Premier League appearances for the Swans, who don’t appear to have missed Wilfied Bony since he moved to City.

This should be a routine win, possibly by the odd goal. City have too much at stake to fluff their lines.

VERDICT: Swansea 0 Man City 2 @ 8.80

BEST BET: Man City score first @ 1.50

MAN UTD v ARSENAL

Van Gaal
Not the right man: Louis Van Gaal

It appears likely that one of these two will have to play in the UEFA Champions League qualifying playoffs, rather than heading straight to the Group stage.

That is the fate awaiting the fourth-place finisher.

Arsenal’s 2-1 FA Cup win at Old Trafford was their first in the last 17 visits and United have not lost successive meetings since 2007.

The Gunners (Odds: 2.94) have a poor overall record and they have had a few problems in front of goal in recent games. Perhaps Olivier Giroud is not the answer up front that Arsene Wenger had hoped he would become.

United (2.42) have been very in and out over the past few weeks themselves. Neither side is water-tight at the back. We like the trend of goals in this fixture: 13 of the last 21 meetings has seen three or more goals scored.

Take United to steal the points and mask the on-going problem of a manager who still does not appear to know his best formation. A draw is perhaps the best the Gunners can hope for on this occasion, even if no team has managed to score against them in the first half since Southampton did so on New Year’s Day. Still, they will probably lose.

VERDICT: Man Utd 3 Arsenal 1 @ 17.50

BEST BET: Man Utd lead at HT @ 2.90

WEST BROM v CHELSEA

Inspector George Gently
Watch your step: Inspector George Gently

Monday Night Mogadon? Baggies Before Bedtime? We are sure Sky will come up with something a little catchier.

This could not be more of an end-of-season game if it tried. West Brom (4.00) are safe from relegation and Chelsea (1.99) wrapped up the title weeks ago.

We could ply you with stats, could tell you that Chelsea have won 17 of the last 21 meetings (drew two, lost two), but we have that end of season ‘meh’ feeling as well. So we won’t.

Never mind. At the same time as this likely snooze-fest, Inspector George Gently is on BBC1. Apparently, he “suspects murder when a man supposedly throws himself off the Tyne Bridge”.

Let’s hope it isn’t art imitating life. Because if QPR get a win…

And because we think it will be a boring after-thought of a game, it probably will be a goal-fest!

VERDICT: West Brom 2 Chelsea 3 @ 28.00

BEST BET: BBC1. Oh, all right, Both teams to score @ 1.83

All odds quoted from Whyteleafe FC’s betting service whyteleafe.myclubbetting.co.uk

Get your club, however large or small, its own tailor-made betting service – FREE – and start benefiting now! See myclubbetting.com for details.

You must be aged 18 or over to bet. Please gamble responsibly www.gambleaware.co.uk

Sunderland on the brink? Your Weekend Premier League betting guide

With Chelsea crowned champions, the focus is on the scrap to dine at the top table. Both Burnley and QPR could effectively be relegated this weekend, but who will fill the remaining spot?

Newcastle are in free-fall but their record against West Brom is good, Hull will be in serious trouble should they lose to Burnley, while Sunderland face a tough trip to in-form Everton.

We take a look at the big matches at both ends of the table, and suggest where to put your money…

Remember, you can get your club, however large or small, its own tailor-made betting service – FREE – and start benefiting now! See myclubbetting.com for details.

EVERTON v SUNDERLAND

Better form: Everton and Roberto Martinez

Little is resting on this match as far as Everton (Odds: 1.77) are concerned.

Sunderland (4.80) have a more pressing need and that is getting out of the bottom three.

A win could take them as high as 14th place if all the teams immediately above them drop points. But Sunderland have won just two of the last 23 meetings and have won just one of their last 14 trips to Goodison Park.

Given that there has been five draws in the last 13 meetings (the draw is on offer at (3.60), a likely scenario is a stalemate, as Everton have drawn seven of 17 home fixtures this season while Sunderland have only lost half of their road fixtures, scoring 12 goals and conceding 23.

Eleven of the last 14 meetings saw under three goals scored and that may well be the case again.

VERDICT: Everton 0 Sunderland 0 @ 8.20

BEST BET: HT draw @ 2.10

ASTON VILLA v WEST HAM

Benteke
Hit-man: Christian Benteke

There is a precedent for a team to win the FA Cup and lose their Premier League status in the same season.

Wigan beat Manchester City in the Cup Final in 2013 and dropped out of the division.

Villa (Odds: 1.91) are 14th in the table but only two points above Sunderland, who are in the relegation places, so they have little room for error.

A home win would help tremendously in the quest to avoid emulating Wigan.

West Ham (4.10) are in the comfort zone of mid-table safety and have only won three of 17 matches on their travels this season. But they have won just one of their last seven trips to Villa Park, and the Villains have a decent record against the Hammers, losing just three of the last 15 meetings. One or other has failed to score in six of the last eight meetings and while the Hammers have scored just four goals in their last eight Premier League games,

It must be counter-balanced by Villa having the second-worst home record in the league.

Christian Benteke has netted 10 goals in his last eight EPL games and he may have the force to unlock the West Ham defence.

VERDICT: Aston Villa 2 West Ham 0 @ 9.20

BEST BET: West Ham not to score @ 2.58

HULL v BURNLEY

steve bruce
Worried: Hull boss Steve Bruce

This is being talked up as a six-pointer but the reality is Burnley (Odds: 4.30) will be relegated even if they avoid defeat.

The away side have the smallest wage bill in the Premier League and there is often a link between financial clout and league position.

Hull (1.92) could still be playing in the Premier League next season but with games against Tottenham and Manchester United to follow, they simply have to pick up points in this match.

Burnley have won 8 of the last nine meetings and there has been just one draw in the last 19 meetings.

Burnley have won just five league matches this season, scoring 26 goals and conceding 53, which equates to the worst goal difference in the division.

Five of the last six meetings yielded less than three goals in total, but the most telling stat that has to be bucked is Burnley’s recent scoring record – they have managed a total of one goals in the last nine EPL games.

Hull have lost four of 18 home matches and their home record is all that is keeping them in the division. It is, however, desperation time for the Clarets.

VERDICT: Hull City 0 Burnley 1 @ 11.00

BEST BET: Burnley or draw @ 1.81

LEICESTER v SOUTHAMPTON

nigel pearson
Staying up: Leicester boss Nigel Pearson

Leicester (Odds: 2.56) have found their best form at a crucial part of the season but the value of the form in beating Newcastle is questionable. That club are in total disarray and are well and truly in the relegation mire.

The Foxes have only lost to Chelsea in their last six matches and are on a roll.

Southampton (2.82) have dropped off the pace for qualifying for Europe and look booked for seventh place.

There has been no draw in the last 10 meetings and five of the last seven meetings have been won to nil.

Seven wins on the road is a decent record, and while Leicester are a hungry outfit with the need and the desire to win this match, Southampton’s defensive strength means we will chance the visitors.

Nine of the last 12 meetings yielded under three goals and that seems another fair percentage call.

VERDICT: Leicester City 0 Southampton 2 @ 14.00

BEST BET: 2 or 3 goals @ 1.99

STOKE v TOTTENHAM

Kane Dive
On fire: Spurs hit-man Harry Kane

In theory, Tottenham (Odds: 2.90) could still finish fourth and qualify for the Champions League but require a freakish set of results for that to happen, including Manchester United dropping eight points in three matches.

The more likely scenario is a race for fifth place with Liverpool and the reward of Europa League matches on Thursdays.

The lure of that competition might not be attractive enough for Tottenham to find total commitment at Stoke, as they do not yet look capable of breaking into the top four and have fluked a couple of late wins, luck which rarely holds from season to season.

Stoke (2.90) are safe from the drop and can’t qualify for Europe, but rarely leave any effort in the dressing room for home matches. They have won just five of the last 25 meetings with Spurs, however, and the visitors have not lost successive EPL games since October.

Stoke have lost six times in the Premier League this season and Spurs have won four of their last five trips to the Potteries, so will may add to their tally, but we look to an entertaining draw.

VERDICT: Stoke City 2 Tottenham Hotspur 2 @ 13.00

BEST BET: 3 goals or more @ 1.90

NEWCASTLE v WEST BROM

John Carver
Speaking out: John Carver

Newcastle (Odds: 2.48) have lost their last eight Premier League games and are two points off the relegation zone with three games to play.

John Carver has shown his inexperience by effectively accusing one of his own players of cheating and you’d pay good money to be a fly on the wall in the ‘clear-the-air’ meeting that followed.

The good news, from a trends perspective, is that Newcastle have scored at least twice against West Brom (2.96) in the last 10 meetings at St James’ Park. The Baggies have won just once in their last 11 trips there.

West Brom, seven points clear of the drop zone, are unbeaten in 10 of their 17 road games, but have won just four. Things are desperate for Newcastle, but the Baggies may be on their holidays now.

VERDICT: Newcastle 2 West Brom 1 @ 8.80

BEST BET: Both teams to score @ 1.83

CRYSTAL PALACE v MAN UTD

Louis Van Gaal
Zero goals: Van Gaal

Another trend that is likely to end this week is an unwelcome one from Manchester United’s perspective: They have lost their last three games and failed to score in any of them. That is the first time this has happened since April 1989.

What looked assured Champions League football next season is now in jeopardy, with Liverpool just four points behind with three to play.

United (Odds: 1.87) are unbeaten in the last 15 meetings with Palace (4.30), however, with 12 of those yielding victories.

Louis van Gaal may have issues with his strikers but, in this up and down season, it is the defence that has been problematic and this is likely to be addressed in the summer.

United have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last six league games and they have lost three in a row for the first time since December 2001.

Palace have a better road record than they do at Selhurst Park. Indeed, on their home form alone, they would be relegated as they have picked up 18 points from a possible 51, and have netted 19 goals in those home games.

Palace are safely in mid table, Alan Pardew should be in the running for manager of the year, but United should get back on track.

VERDICT: Crystal Palace 0 Man Utd 2 @ 8.00

BEST BET: Man Utd to win @ 1.87

MAN CITY v QPR

Because of their inferior goal difference, QPR (Odds: 13.50) will be condemned to the Championship should they gain anything other than a victory at the Etihad on Sunday.

City (1.23) can still finish as runners-up to newly-crowned champions Chelsea, although Arsenal have a game in hand, but there are sure to be changes in personnel in the summer and Manuel Pellegrini could already be a dead man walking.

City have scored at least twice in four of the last five meetings and eight of the last 11 clashes have seen three or more goals scored. So we stick with that trend.

QPR will do well to achieve a fifth draw in nine meetings and the Hoops will be finally be put out of their misery.

VERDICT: Man City 3 QPR 0 @ 8.00

BEST BET: Man City lead at HT @ 1.55

CHELSEA v LIVERPOOL

Gerrard2
Blues hex: Liverpool’s Steven Gerrard

Chelsea (Odds: 2.06) have every right to have a party hangover after securing their first Premier League title in five years – their fifth in total – with a 1-0 win over Crystal Palace.

Liverpool (3.70) are looking to get in the Champions League back door thanks to Manchester United’s three-game losing streak, but the Reds are four points behind and have an inferior goal difference in the fight for fourth place.

The stats are against Liverpool, who could just as easily miss out on European football, as Spurs are just three points behind them.

And Liverpool have to overcome this telling stat: Jose Mourinho-managed Chelsea side have lost just one of the last 95 Premier League games at Stamford Bridge.

Furthermore, Liverpool have managed to win just one of the last nine meetings, although both sides found the net in seven of those contests.

There have been four draws in the last seven meetings (the draw is on offer at 3.35), but hangover or not, we see Chelsea as a class above Liverpool, who have won just two of their last six, and they can take the spoils.

VERDICT: Chelsea 2 Liverpool 0 @ 9.80

BEST BET: HT draw @ 2.06

ARSENAL v SWANSEA

Arsenal (Odds: 1.32) have secured Champions League football next season and top the form charts with 31 points from the last 33. They have lost just once at home this season: to Manchester United back in November.

Swansea (10.50) also beat the Gunners this term and Arsenal have a chance to avenge both those defeats in their next two games.

Clashes between these two are often initially tepid affairs that spark to life after the break. Six of the last seven meetings saw a goalless first half, but seven of the last 11 meetings yielded three goals or more.

The Gunners have won just three of the last eight meetings but are only a signing or two away from being genuine title challengers once again.

Swansea’s lack of firepower, thanks to injuries, may see them struggle and the Gunners can win with a late flurry.

VERDICT: Arsenal 2 Swansea 0 @ 6.20

BEST BET: Over 1.5 goals in second half @ 1.73

All odds quoted from Whyteleafe FC’s betting service whyteleafe.myclubbetting.co.uk

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Guardiola’s unhappy homecoming? Your Champions League betting guide

We have reached the semi-finals of the Champions League and the second semi-final takes place on Wednesday night.

The My Club Betting prognosticators offered a trio of bets last night – and all of them won! We gave you winners at odds of 1.40, 1.91 and 2.82 – and also weighed in with a 9.20 correct score winner!

Our guys cast their eyes over the second semi-final and pick out a trio of bets to whet your appetite…

Remember, you can get your club, however large or small, its own tailor-made betting service – FREE – and start benefiting now! See myclubbetting.com for details.

BARCELONA v REAL MADRID

Luis Suarez
Danger man: Luis Suarez

A lot has been made of the injuries that Bayern Munich have to overcome in order to reach the Champions League final.

It is true that they will miss the pace of Arjen Robben, who can unlock the tightest of defences.

But even though they have kept five clean sheets in their last five games, this Barcelona side is far from solid at the back.

Bayern will certainly be weakened by the loss of Franck Ribery, David Alaba and Holger Badstuber.

However, it is likely that the influential Poland international striker Robert Lewandowski will play, albeit with a face mask.

Lewandowski has contributed five goals two assists in 10 Champions League games this season and Pep Guardiola, who won 14 trophies in four years at Barcelona, will know his Bayern side are unlikely to progress unless they grab an away goal.

BET: Draw or Bayern Munich @ 1.99

Guardiola returns to face the club that made him and the Bayern Munich manager knows it won’t be an easy homecoming.

Bayern have not fared particularly well on their travels in Europe this season and had to overcome a 3-1 first-leg quarter-final deficit against Porto, winning the second-leg 6-1.

But they have won three of their previous four encounters with Barcelona at the Camp Nou, including a 3-0 success in the 2012-13 semi-finals. That was part of a 7-0 aggregate win.

BET: Half-Time Draw @ 2.22 

Barcelona, who seek their eighth European Cup final appearance, have won 13 of their 18 two-legged ties with German opposition and they are scoring goals for fun. They have bagged 14 in the last two matches and have kept five straight clean sheets.

While that 2012-13 semi-final thumping is unlikely to have been forgotten, Guardiola knows the Barcelona players and the system. He hopes to negate perhaps the most effective strike-force ever assembled in Neymar, Lionel Messi and Luis Suarez. Likewise, the Barcelona players know his systems and how he thinks.

BET: Home Yellow Cards – Over 1.5 @ 1.57

Italian whistle-blower Nicola Rizzoli is potentially a bad omen for the Blaugrana. He took charge of the 2014 World Cup final between Germany and Argentina. In that game Bayern keeper Manuel Neuer escaped any sanction for his diabolical attack on Argentina forward Gonzalo Higuain.

This season he took charge in Barcelona’s 3-2 defeat to PSG at the Parc des Princes and was also in the middle for Barca’s 2-1 defeat by Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium a couple of seasons ago. In that game he disallowed what looked a perfectly good goal from Lionel Messi.

Bayern have won five of their seven European Cup semi-finals against Spanish teams and while they are injury-hit, this might be a more difficult test for Barcelona than many pundits are anticipating.

VERDICT: Barcelona 0 Bayern Munich 0 @ 7.20

All odds quoted from Shoreham FC’s betting service shorehamfc.myclubbetting.co.uk

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Can the Old Lady of Turin upset Real Madrid? Your Champions League betting guide

We have reached the semi-finals of the Champions League and there are two cracking ties in prospect this week.

The My Club Betting prognosticators cast their eyes over the first match and pick out a trio of bets to whet your appetite…

Remember, you can get your club, however large or small, its own tailor-made betting service – FREE – and start benefiting now! See myclubbetting.com for details.

Tevez
Juve key: Carlos Tevez

JUVENTUS v REAL MADRID

Let’s keep this simple: If you are looking for a bet on tonight’s Champions League semi-final, you are spoilt for choice.

Historically, we are looking at a trend that favours the hosts, who have played Real Madrid seven times. Juventus have won five of those, drawn one and lost one.

Real do not like travelling to Italy. They have failed to win any of their last seven matches on Italian soil, and while they have not conceded an away goal in 444 minutes in Europe, the feeling is the Old Lady of Turin will take a slender lead to the Santiago Bernabéu for the second leg next week.

Juventus are 2.82 to win and given they have played 17 times in Europe in their new stadium and have lost just once (winning 10 matches and drawing six), that seems a fair price to us.

BET: Juventus to win @ 2.82

In those 17 matches at the redeveloped ground, Juventus have conceded 14 goals and the overall standard of opposition has been at a level lower than Real Madrid.

Juventus have conceded at least one goal in nine of those matches, which suggests they are slightly less than even money to concede.

BET: Both teams to score @ 1.91

We also feel that there will be a few yellow cards in what will be a highly competitive affair. Over 3.5 yellow cards is our call and at least two will be shown in the first half as the referee will hope to stamp his authority.

Martin Atkinson is the man in charge and while he likes to let the game flow, he is not one for taking any nonsense.

Although the appointment is logical considering that there are no English teams left in the tournament, it is still a little surprising considering the problems he encountered in the Bayern Munich v Porto quarter-final clash. He also arguably got it wrong when sending off Villarreal defender Eric Bailly in the last-16 return leg against Sevilla.

BET: Over 3.5 Yellow Cards @ 1.40

VERDICT: Juventus 2 Real Madrid 1 @ 9.2

All odds quoted from Shoreham FC’s betting service shorehamfc.myclubbetting.co.uk

Get your club, however large or small, its own tailor-made betting service – FREE – and start benefiting now! See myclubbetting.com for details.

You must be aged 18 or over to bet. Please gamble responsibly www.gambleaware.co.uk